GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · 8/6/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Lichtenberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Tennis Borussia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sparta Lichtenberg are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 7.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Lichtenberg hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, while Sparta Lichtenberg holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Lichtenberg

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Sparta Lichtenberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tennis BorussiaWWLLD

GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta LichtenbergWW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 7.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Tennis BorussiaSparta Lichtenberg
58.6Attack85.1
43.7Defence42.5
50.6Form60.9
51.6Power61.7
2.17xG2.78
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