Tenerifevs
Sporting Gijon
SCHEDULEDSpain · Segunda División · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tenerife are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting Gijon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Gijon hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
27.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00