Tenerifevs
Sporting Gijon
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tenerife 0-0 Sporting Gijon, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tenerife 0-1 Sporting Gijon
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.6% | 32.7% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.7% | 34.0% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.7% | 33.3% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Tenerife 0–0 Sporting Gijon
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.0%
Model confidence
34.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TenerifeWWDWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting GijonWDLLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TenerifeSporting Gijon
30.2Attack38.6
67.5Defence67.4
44.4Form50.0
49.5Power53.6
0.62xG0.70