GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tenerife are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting Gijon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Gijon hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

27.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TenerifeDWDWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting GijonLLWLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TenerifeSporting Gijon
30.2Attack38.6
67.5Defence67.4
44.4Form50.0
49.5Power53.6
0.62xG0.70
View match centre →