Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tenerife are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Oviedo are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Oviedo hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80