Tenerife IIvs
Mijas Las Lagunas
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tenerife II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tenerife II 1-3 Mijas Las Lagunas
Original prediction
Tenerife II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.6% | 47.0% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.5% | 23.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 19.9% | 29.0% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Tenerife II
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Tenerife II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40