Tenerife IIvs
Estepona
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tenerife II 0-0 Estepona, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tenerife II 2-1 Estepona
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.4% | 34.6% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 27.9% | 32.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 30.8% | 33.4% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Tenerife II 0–0 Estepona
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tenerife IIWWLLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
EsteponaWLDDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tenerife IIEstepona
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence73.5
50.0Form48.0
50.0Power52.9
0.72xG0.78