Tenerife IIvs
Atlético Central
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tenerife II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tenerife II 3-1 Atlético Central
Original prediction
Tenerife II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.4% | 40.3% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.8% | 29.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 22.8% | 30.1% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Tenerife II
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Tenerife II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00