GGOALVIO

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · 10/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tenerife C · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tenerife C 2-1 Villa Santa Brígida

Original prediction

Tenerife C

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8947.5%37.1%-10.4 pts
Draw3.2527.6%27.6%0.0 pts
Away3.6024.9%35.3%10.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Tenerife C

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Tenerife C has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tenerife CWWLWD

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Villa Santa BrígidaLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tenerife CVilla Santa Brígida
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power88.7
1.45xG1.69
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