CupCup
Saturday, 1 August 202616:00Updated today
Tempo Praha

Tempo Praha

Home
D
vs
16:00
Loko Vltavín

Loko Vltavín

Away
W
Tempo Praha
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Tempo Praha(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Tempo Praha
41%
Draw
24%
Loko Vltavín
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tempo Praha
9
Loko Vltavín
94
Defence
Tempo Praha
91
Loko Vltavín
66
Momentum
Tempo Praha
33
Loko Vltavín
100
Danger (xG)
Tempo Praha
0.00
Loko Vltavín
2.70
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.81 xG for Tempo Praha and 0.69 xG for Loko Vltavín. Loko Vltavín's projected xG of 0.69 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Tempo Praha's defensive record — 4 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Loko Vltavín's limited attacking output (2 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.50 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Tempo Praha's Defensive Stability (91) and Loko Vltavín's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Tempo Praha)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Loko Vltavín)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Tempo Praha)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Loko Vltavín)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tempo PrahaTempo Praha
D
Loko VltavínLoko Vltavín
W

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Tempo Praha41%
Draw24%
Loko Vltavín34%

Tempo Praha leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Tempo Praha Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Tempo Praha host Loko Vltavín in Cup. Tempo Praha have recorded WWDLDW in recent matches while Loko Vltavín arrive with a run of WWLDLD.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.81 expected goals for Tempo Praha against 0.69 for Loko Vltavín — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Tempo Praha have kept 4 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Tempo Praha's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 55% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.

Why GoalVio backs this

Tempo Praha are generating a commanding xG advantage — 1.81 projected against 0.69 for Loko Vltavín. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.13 is the clearest signal in the model that Tempo Praha are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Tempo Praha's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Loko Vltavín defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Tempo Praha fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Tempo Praha

Tempo Praha

D
@ Louny
16 May 2026
00
Loko Vltavín

Loko Vltavín

W
vs Petřín Plzeň
16 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tempo Praha vs Loko Vltavín?

GoalVio's model predicts Tempo Praha to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tempo Praha vs Loko Vltavín?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Tempo Praha vs Loko Vltavín?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tempo Praha vs Loko Vltavín?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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