Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
35%
HighconfidenceTemperley are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Midland are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and midland hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera Nacional, favouring a draw with 34.6% confidence, a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TemperleyLLWWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MidlandWDWWD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
TemperleyMidland
33.3Attack36.2
70.8Defence76.8
51.4Form53.6
53.8Power57.5
0.50xG0.59