Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Temperley

Temperley

Home
WD
20
Full time
Atletico DE Rafaela

Atletico DE Rafaela

Away
LL
Estadio Alfredo Beranger
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
Temperley(52%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Temperley
Win probability
Temperley
52%
Draw
35%
Atletico DE Rafaela
13%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Temperley
34
Atletico DE Rafaela
18
Defence
Temperley
91
Atletico DE Rafaela
14
Momentum
Temperley
67
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
Danger (xG)
Temperley
0.90
Atletico DE Rafaela
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Temperley)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Atletico DE Rafaela)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Temperley)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Atletico DE Rafaela)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TemperleyTemperley
WDW
Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
LLDL

Probability breakdown

54% confidence
Temperley52%
Draw35%
Atletico DE Rafaela13%

Temperley leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Temperley head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Alfredo Beranger in mixed form (WD), while Atletico DE Rafaela arrive in mixed form (LL). Temperley have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Atletico DE Rafaela over 2 games.

The model rates Temperley's attack at 34/100 against a 14/100 Atletico DE Rafaela defence, and Atletico DE Rafaela's attack at 18/100 against a 91/100 Temperley backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Temperley have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Atletico DE Rafaela have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Temperley have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Temperley to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Temperley 5224%, Draw 3500%, Atletico DE Rafaela 1276%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Temperley 1Draws 00 Atletico DE Rafaela
Avg goals: 2.0
18 Jul 2026
Temperley
W20
Atletico DE Rafaela

Recent form

Temperley

Temperley

W
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
18 Jul 2026
20
D
@ Agropecuario
12 Jul 2026
00
W
@ Chacarita Juniors
7 Jun 2026
10
Atletico DE Rafaela

Atletico DE Rafaela

L
@ Temperley
18 Jul 2026
02
L
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11 Jul 2026
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D
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L
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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

GoalVio's model predicts Temperley to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more