Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Temperley · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Temperley 0-0 Almagro, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Temperley 3-1 Almagro
Original prediction
Temperley
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.4% | 52.4% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.3% | 31.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.4% | 16.2% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Projected Score
Temperley 0–0 Almagro
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Temperley
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Temperley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TemperleyDWWWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AlmagroDLWDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TemperleyAlmagro
37.9Attack28.7
73.6Defence62.1
57.5Form40.2
58.0Power45.6
0.97xG0.41