Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Telstar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Telstar 2-2 Cambuur
Original prediction
Telstar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 57.9% | 49.3% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.9% | 24.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 20.2% | 26.6% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Telstar
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Telstar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TelstarLLWLW
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CambuurLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TelstarCambuur
33.3Attack16.7
11.1Defence8.3
33.3Form8.3
30.3Power16.6
2.06xG1.39