Telstarvs
ADO Den Haag
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Telstar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Telstar 2-2 ADO Den Haag
Original prediction
Telstar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 46.5% | 47.9% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.3% | 24.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 28.2% | 27.6% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Telstar
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Telstar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20