Teleghmavs
USM Annaba
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
USM Annaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Teleghma 2-1 USM Annaba
Original prediction
USM Annaba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.4% | 29.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.84 | 31.4% | 29.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.2% | 40.6% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
USM Annaba
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
USM Annaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80