Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Teleghma 0-0 NC Magra, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Teleghma 1-2 NC Magra
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 20:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.3% | 37.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.4% | 32.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.3% | 31.0% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Teleghma 0–0 NC Magra
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TeleghmaLL
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
NC MagraWDWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TeleghmaNC Magra
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.94xG0.81