Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Telavi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Telavi are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gagra are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 40.1 against 40.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Telavi holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Telavi
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
34.1%
Telavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 3.50/2.50