GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 4/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Telavi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Telavi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aragvi Dusheti are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Telavi hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Telavi holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Telavi

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

18.1%

Telavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TelaviWLDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Aragvi DushetiLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TelaviAragvi Dusheti
36.7Attack46.5
75.0Defence53.5
60.0Form43.9
59.0Power49.4
1.13xG0.65
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