GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/22/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tekstilshchik are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Novosibirsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Novosibirsk hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TekstilshchikLLDDD

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NovosibirskWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TekstilshchikNovosibirsk
46.3Attack40.7
66.7Defence75.9
46.3Form64.8
52.6Power63.0
0.73xG0.77
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