Tegevajaro Miyazakivs
Consadole Sapporo
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tegevajaro Miyazaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 Consadole Sapporo
Original prediction
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.5% | 42.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.1% | 28.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.4% | 28.8% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60