GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tecnico Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

20.2%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tecnico UniversitarioWLWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad CatolicaDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Tecnico UniversitarioUniversidad Catolica
27.8Attack54.2
55.6Defence70.8
36.1Form54.2
41.6Power59.5
0.49xG1.38
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