GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/8/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tecnico Universitario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 53.1-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tecnico UniversitarioWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad CatolicaWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Tecnico UniversitarioUniversidad Catolica
0.0Attack44.4
0.0Defence81.5
0.0Form55.6
7.0Power60.1
0.62xG1.32
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