Tecnico Universitariovs
Mushuc Runa SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/26/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tecnico Universitario 0-0 Mushuc Runa SC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tecnico Universitario 3-0 Mushuc Runa SC
Original prediction
Mushuc Runa SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.1% | 31.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.3% | 29.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.6% | 39.3% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Tecnico Universitario 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Mushuc Runa SC
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80