GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tecnico Universitario are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Emelec are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Emelec hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tecnico UniversitarioLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EmelecLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tecnico UniversitarioEmelec
27.8Attack26.4
55.6Defence61.1
36.1Form40.3
41.6Power44.7
0.69xG0.65
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