Tecnico Universitariovs
Deportivo Cuenca
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tecnico Universitario 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.2% | 35.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.0% | 32.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.9% | 31.6% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Tecnico Universitario 0–0 Deportivo Cuenca
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20