Liga ProLiga Pro
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Tecnico Universitario

Tecnico Universitario

Home
LLW
01
Full time
Aucas

Aucas

Away
LWW
Estadio Bellavista
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Aucas(34%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Tecnico Universitario
39%
Draw
27%
Aucas
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tecnico Universitario
23
Aucas
23
Defence
Tecnico Universitario
53
Aucas
66
Momentum
Tecnico Universitario
33
Aucas
67
Danger (xG)
Tecnico Universitario
0.60
Aucas
0.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Tecnico Universitario)
0.60
avg per match
xG for (Aucas)
0.60
avg per match
xG against (Tecnico Universitario)
1.20
avg per match
xG against (Aucas)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario
LLWD
AucasAucas
LWW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Tecnico Universitario39%
Draw27%
Aucas34%

Tecnico Universitario leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Tecnico Universitario head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Bellavista in mixed form (LLW), while Aucas arrive in decent form (LWW). Tecnico Universitario have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 67% for Aucas over 3 games.

The model rates Tecnico Universitario's attack at 23/100 against a 66/100 Aucas defence, and Aucas's attack at 23/100 against a 53/100 Tecnico Universitario backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Tecnico Universitario have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Aucas have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Tecnico Universitario and Aucas in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Aucas to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Tecnico Universitario 3870%, Draw 2725%, Aucas 3405%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Tecnico Universitario

Tecnico Universitario

L
@ Libertad
15 Jul 2026
01
L
vs Macara
11 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Orense SC
7 Jul 2026
21
D
@ LDU de Quito
15 May 2026
11
Aucas

Aucas

L
vs Independiente del Valle
16 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Deportivo Cuenca
12 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Guayaquil City FC
8 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

GoalVio's model predicts Aucas to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more