Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tersana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Team 0-1 Tersana, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Team 0-0 Tersana
Original prediction
Tersana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.74 | 19.1% | 18.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.5% | 27.0% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.4% | 54.9% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Projected Score
Team 0–1 Tersana
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Tersana
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Tersana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TeamWLLLD
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TersanaWDWDW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TeamTersana
37.0Attack44.4
44.4Defence74.1
37.0Form59.3
42.5Power60.3
0.63xG1.39