Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pharco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Team 0-0 Pharco, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Team 0-3 Pharco
Original prediction
Pharco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 27.4% | 26.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.7% | 31.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.9% | 42.2% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Team 0–0 Pharco
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Pharco
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Pharco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TeamLLDWW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PharcoLLWWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TeamPharco
33.3Attack38.1
52.4Defence71.4
33.3Form61.9
42.7Power59.6
0.71xG1.05