GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Team Thoren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Lowconfidence

Umea FF are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Umeå FC Akademi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Umea FF hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Umea FF holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Team Thoren

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

6.8%

Team Thoren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Team ThorenLDDWL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Umeå FC AkademiDLDLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Team ThorenUmeå FC Akademi
59.0Attack46.2
23.1Defence23.1
28.2Form30.8
38.2Power35.6
3.02xG2.00
View match centre →