GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 4/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lucksta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Team Thoren are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lucksta are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lucksta hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.4% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Lucksta holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lucksta

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

6.4%

Lucksta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Team ThorenWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LuckstaLLLLW

GF 9 · GA 19 · avg 1.80/3.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Team ThorenLucksta
59.0Attack66.7
23.1Defence28.9
28.2Form46.7
38.2Power48.1
2.69xG3.00
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