GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 8/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Team Thoren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Team Thoren are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while IFK Umeå are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Team Thoren hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Team Thoren holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Team Thoren

Probability

76.8%

Model confidence

9.0%

Team Thoren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Team ThorenLDDWL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
IFK UmeåLWDLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Team ThorenIFK Umeå
59.0Attack30.8
23.1Defence0.0
28.2Form10.3
38.2Power18.3
3.68xG1.27
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