GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 5/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Team Thoren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Lowconfidence

Team Thoren are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fransta are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Team Thoren hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Team Thoren holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Team Thoren

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

6.9%

Team Thoren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Team ThorenDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FranstaDLWL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Team ThorenFransta
59.0Attack51.3
23.1Defence12.8
28.2Form30.8
38.2Power34.8
3.43xG2.22
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