Team Altamuravs
Potenza
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 10/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Potenza · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Team Altamura 2-2 Potenza
Original prediction
Potenza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.99 | 22.9% | 20.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.0% | 24.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 50.1% | 54.8% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Potenza
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Potenza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40