Team Altamuravs
Catania
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 10/11/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Catania · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Team Altamura 0-3 Catania
Original prediction
Catania
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.66 | 19.5% | 28.4% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 28.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 53.3% | 42.7% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Catania
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Catania has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20