Team Altamuravs
Bari
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bari · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Team Altamura 0-3 Bari
Original prediction
Bari
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.82 | 23.9% | 32.0% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.9% | 29.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 47.2% | 38.3% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Bari
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Bari has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Team AltamuraLDDWW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BariWDLWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Team AltamuraBari
38.7Attack50.0
55.0Defence50.0
39.6Form50.0
46.3Power50.0
1.12xG1.15