Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täby · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Täby 2-3 Lidingö
Original prediction
Täby
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.0% | 73.3% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.5% | 15.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.5% | 11.2% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Täby
Probability
73.3%
Model confidence
73.3%
Täby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TäbyWLWDD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LidingöLLWWL
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
TäbyLidingö
58.3Attack36.1
65.3Defence31.9
56.9Form27.8
60.2Power34.2
2.82xG0.65