Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Täby 2-1 Angby
Original prediction
Täby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.8% | 38.6% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.4% | 23.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.9% | 38.0% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Täby
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Täby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TäbyDDWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AngbyWWDWD
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TäbyAngby
58.7Attack71.4
63.5Defence63.5
55.6Form71.4
59.3Power68.8
1.37xG1.51