Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Táborsko · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Táborsko 1-1 Třinec
Original prediction
Táborsko
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.6% | 46.9% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.0% | 27.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.4% | 25.7% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Táborsko
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Táborsko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TáborskoDLWLL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TřinecWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
TáborskoTřinec
45.5Attack39.4
54.5Defence39.4
42.4Form30.3
49.1Power39.2
1.83xG0.95