Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Táborsko 0-1 Karviná
Original prediction
Karviná
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.7% | 31.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 28.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.0% | 40.1% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Karviná
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Karviná has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TáborskoWLLDD
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KarvináDWLWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TáborskoKarviná
48.1Attack70.4
55.6Defence55.6
48.1Form66.7
52.1Power64.8
1.34xG1.74