Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
TB are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while NSÍ II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and TB hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the 1. Deild, while TB holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TB
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
8.3%
TB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40