Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
TB are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HB II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and TB hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the 1. Deild, while TB holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TB
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
10.3%
TB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00