Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
TB are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 5.33 conceded, while HB are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.33 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HB hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (24.5 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.0% in the Meistaradeildin, while HB holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
77.0%
HB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.67/5.33
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 3.33/0.33