1. Deild1. Deild
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 12:20
TB

TB

Home
L
16
Full time
B71

B71

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
56% confidence
B71(56%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: B71
Win probability
TB
19%
Draw
25%
B71
56%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
TB
34
B71
100
Defence
TB
0
B71
66
Momentum
TB
0
B71
100
Danger (xG)
TB
0.90
B71
5.40
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.13 xG for TB and 2.76 xG for B71 — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with TB holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.90 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. TB's Attack Score (34) vs B71's Defensive Stability (66) and B71's attack (100) vs TB's defence (0) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (TB)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (B71)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (TB)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (B71)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TBTB
LDW
B71B71
W

Probability breakdown

56% confidence
TB19%
Draw25%
B7156%

B71 leads with 56% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

B71 Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

TB host B71 in 1. Deild. TB have recorded LLDLLW in recent matches while B71 arrive with a run of WWWWWD. These sides have met 8 times recently, averaging 3.1 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.76 expected goals for B71 against 1.13 for TB — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability B71 have kept 4 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form B71 arrive in better recent form — 5 wins from 10 matches (WWWWWD) against TB's 1. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

B71 are generating a dominant xG advantage — 2.76 projected against 1.13 for TB. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.63 is the clearest signal in the model that B71 are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows TB have won 3 of the last 8 meetings — a competitive history that suggests B71's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 8 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

TB 0Draws 01 B71
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
TB
L16
B71

Recent form

TB

TB

L
vs B71
28 Jun 2026
16
D
@ Víkingur II
17 May 2026
22
W
@ Hoyvík
14 May 2026
41
B71

B71

W
@ TB
28 Jun 2026
61

Frequently asked questions

Who will win TB vs B71?

GoalVio's model predicts B71 to win with 56% confidence.

What is the predicted score for TB vs B71?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in TB vs B71?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in TB vs B71?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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