Tauro FCvs
San Francisco FC
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/27/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauro FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tauro FC 1-3 San Francisco FC
Original prediction
Tauro FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.6% | 39.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.1% | 29.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.2% | 30.8% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Tauro FC
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Tauro FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40