Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauras · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tauras are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dainava are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 62.8 against 63.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Tauras holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tauras
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Tauras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00