Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tauras 2-2 BFA
Original prediction
Tauras
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 48.6% | 55.7% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.7% | 22.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 25.7% | 21.7% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Tauras
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Tauras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TaurasDWLDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BFAWDWLW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TaurasBFA
58.7Attack49.2
63.5Defence54.0
61.9Form55.6
62.0Power53.7
1.79xG0.97