Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tauras 1-2 Be1 NFA
Original prediction
Be1 NFA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.2% | 34.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 23.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.0% | 42.0% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TaurasDWLLD
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Be1 NFAWDWWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TaurasBe1 NFA
60.3Attack60.3
55.1Defence65.4
56.4Form69.2
58.2Power65.7
1.32xG1.53