Taurasvs
Žalgiris II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tauras 0-1 Žalgiris II
Original prediction
Tauras
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.1% | 52.0% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.8% | 22.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.1% | 25.6% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Tauras
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Tauras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TaurasLDDWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Žalgiris IIWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TaurasŽalgiris II
58.0Attack53.6
59.4Defence55.1
58.0Form58.0
59.2Power56.8
1.70xG1.20