GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/10/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Taunton Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Taunton TownLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownWWDWW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Taunton TownMerthyr Town
83.3Attack67.5
33.3Defence53.2
50.0Form53.2
54.2Power57.2
1.73xG2.03
View match centre →