Taunton Townvs
Bracknell Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taunton Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Taunton Town 4-0 Bracknell Town
Original prediction
Taunton Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.9% | 62.0% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 17.5% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.5% | 20.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Taunton Town
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Taunton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20