Taunton Townvs
Bath City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taunton Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Taunton Town 1-3 Bath City
Original prediction
Taunton Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.2% | 44.0% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.7% | 24.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.1% | 32.0% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Taunton Town
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Taunton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20